Meadow Lakes, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

258
FXAK68 PAFC 021349
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
449 AM AKST Sun Feb 2 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
3)...

The start of our warming trend is underway as the ridge is
strengthening to our west. Cold air continues to stream out of the
gaps and passes, but is now fairly isolated with winds over the
Gulf and Sound continuing to weaken. Gusty winds are likely to
persist through Seward, Whittier and Thompson Pass throughout the
forecast period, but temperatures will warm and winds will weaken
slightly through the coming days. Otherwise, a decently strong
inversion is forecast to continue to strengthen, with above
freezing temperatures between 3000 and 5000 ft developing from the
Susitna Valley south into the Cook Inlet. In valley locations,
expect to gain 3 to 5 degrees each day through the forecast
period. Otherwise, continue to enjoy the mostly clear skies, with
continued aurora activity expected through mid-week.

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
(Sunday through Tuesday)...

High pressure continues over Southwest Alaska this morning with
areas of overnight fog observed at times from Iliamna down to King
Salmon. Today and into early next week high pressure will
contribute to an increasingly drier air mass over Southwest
Alaska. Thus little in the way of any precipitation is forecast
and areas of fog may become increasingly common during the
overnight hours. The exception to limited precipitation is noted
further north across the Kuskokwim Delta where a weak wave of low
pressure skirted the YK Delta coast. Warm temperatures just above
freezing resulted in light rain across Nunivak Island overnight
but precipitation has since ended.

Yesterday a strong area of low pressure passed across the Western
and Central Aleutians resulting in gusty conditions across much
of the Bering. The pressure gradient between the western Bering
low, which has since lifted north of the Western Aleutians, and
the continued presence of high pressure over Southwest Alaska,
will maintain a tightened pressure gradient over the Bering
through tonight. Winds over the Pribilof Islands down into the
Eastern Aleutians and southern AKPEN are gusting anywhere from 25
to 35 knots this morning, and this will change little over the
next 12 to 24 hours. Gusty conditions will also persist over the
Western Bering with the passage of the Bering low. Storm force
winds will be possible across zone 411 through the remainder of
the morning hours along with significant seas up to 25 feet.

The beginning of the work week on Monday and also on Tuesday will
be much quieter as the western Bering low departs the region and
the pressure gradient over the Bering finally relaxes. A north-
to-south oriented front sits just west of the Pribilof Islands and
extends southward across Nikolski. Shower chances across the
Bering will remain highest along the front, which will tilt across
Nunivak Island and become somewhat stationary on Monday. No other
significant weather is forecast at this time.


-BL

&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday Through Saturday)...

The long-term period looks to be on track with respect to
Southcentral Alaska. The period will consist of upper ridging
remaining over the area. Gap winds through the favorable areas
will also remain gusty at times, especially through Valdez
Narrows. The Copper River Basin will remain the cold spot with
high temperatures in the single digits and lows in the negative
single-digits to negative teens. Elsewhere will see 20s to 30s for
highs with single-digits and teens for lows.

While mainland Southwest Alaska looks to see mostly dry
conditions through the long-term, the Kuskokwim Delta has the best
chance at seeing some snow Wednesday and the second half of
Thursday as a couple disturbances moving through the Bering Sea
impact the area. Most precipitation should fall along the coast
with these systems. The Aleutians and Bering Sea will remain
active through the long- term as multiple North Pacific lows lift
across the area. Each of these lows on Wednesday, Friday, and
Saturday, will bring pushes of warmer air from the south into the
area. Therefore, the dominant precipitation-type along the
Aleutian Chain and the Alaska Peninsula should be rain with these
systems. Each frontal system associated with the lows looks to
also bring gale-force winds with pockets of storm-force to the
Chain through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light variable winds expected to
prevail through the TAF period. However, with strong ridging
moving in, there is potential for fog and/or low stratus to
develop along the Knik Arm and work southwards towards the
terminal through this afternoon.

&&

$$