Meadow Lakes, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

571
FXAK68 PAFC 281249
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
449 AM AKDT Sun Jun 28 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Overall, the forecast remains on track. An upper level low over
the Bering Sea extends its trough into the Gulf of Alaska, moving
it northwards over Southcentral Alaska today. Cooler air follows
the trough, keeping temperatures today and Monday near normal, in
the low to mid 60`s for Anchorage, western Kenai Peninsula, MatSu
Valley and the Copper River Basin. Coastal areas along the north
Gulf coast, Prince William Sound, and Kodiak Island will see
temperatures in the mid to upper 50`s. Widespread light rain
showers will persist through Monday across the Southcentral
Mainland. There may be a small chance (10-15%) of lightning
strikes along portions of the Susitna Valley along the Western
Alaska Range Monday afternoon as instability tries to build back
in aloft as the Bering Sea low moves over the Y-K Delta. Widespread
light rain showers will persist through into Tuesday across the
Southcentral Mainland as the low and associated trough(s) move
east across the interior Tuesday. There is some disagreement
amongst models regarding the upper-level low track and speed
beyond Tuesday.

KM

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: Today through Tuesday)...

The forecast remains on track. Generally expect cloudier, cooler,
and breezier conditions as lows dominate the upper level pattern.
Southwest Alaska to see a break in thunderstorm potential through
the remainder of the weekend, though much of the region will
likely pick up some light rain as widespread rain showers move
through. A weakening, vertically stacked, low pressure system will
move into the Southwest Alaska coastline through today. By
Monday, a robust upper low moving over Southwest may create just
enough elevated lift for isolated afternoon thunderstorms over
the interior Kuskokwim Delta and Valley. By Tuesday, a slight warm-
up for interior Southwest Alaska as the upper low continues
eastward and cloud cover diminishes behind it.

For the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands, expect mildly improving
conditions as the current Bering Sea low exits into Southwest
Alaska. Later this afternoon, a North Pacific low and its front
will approach the Western Aleutians and Bering, bringing
widespread rain and gales across the region. The leading front
will move over Adak by Monday morning, and Unalaska and the
Pribilofs by Monday evening. As the low occludes and moves into
the Bering Sea, expect another surge of 20-30 kt winds for Adak
and Atka for Tuesday on the backside of the low.

-CL/KC

&&


.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through
Saturday)...

An active pattern looks to continue for the long term forecast.
Due to many smaller scale features moving in, there is some
uncertainty exactly where they will track. Wednesday will start
with shortwaves and fronts in the Bering causing elevated winds
and rainfall for the Aleutians and the Southwest Mainland.
Southcentral will see this troughing stretch into the Gulf of
Alaska. This would allow for rainfall, but there is uncertainty
on how quickly the troughing will move into the Gulf of Alaska.
This means that rainfall in Southcentral could be delayed if the
troughing moves in slower. Things become more uncertain Thursday
through Saturday as more features move in. The current thinking is
that a ridge will set up in the Bering by Friday, where it will
remain through Saturday. Meanwhile, a larger low will move into
the Gulf of Alaska, bringing rainfall to the Southwest and
Southcentral Mainlands, including Kodiak Island. As for
thunderstorms, it seems like convective potential will be low
through next week, so storm potential is low for now.

-JAR

&&
.AVIATION...

PANC...There is a chance (30%) for rain showers to drift over the
terminal through this morning. VFR conditions with brief dips
into MVFR conditions possible through the morning hours. Light
winds expected with brief gusts up to 15 to 20 kts this evening.

&&


$$